“Stadium Wave” Phenomenon Defeats Climate-changers’ Claims

In a press release, Georgia Tech announced that stadium waves, similar to those seen and enjoyed by fans at football games, may provide a much better explanation for the “hiatus” or interruption in global temperature increases than those promoted elsewhere:

The stadium wave hypothesis provides a plausible explanation for the hiatus in warming and helps explain why [other] climate models did not predict this hiatus.

Further, the new hypothesis suggests how long the hiatus might last.

The climate-changers have been scrambling lately to explain away the fact that global temperatures haven’t changed since 1998. As Judith Curry, chief of Georgia Tech’s Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, wrote:

One of the most controversial issues emerging from the recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report is the failure of global climate models to predict a hiatus in warming of global surface temperatures since 1998.

Indeed, the climate-changers have faced a series of daunting challenges to their theory of imminent total worldwide catastrophe unless something is done. Proofs that climate change is inevitable are increasingly coming under attack. As Rebecca Terrell pointed out at The New American, nearly every statement made by President Obama about climate change, as he announced an executive order to remediate climate change, was patently and provably false. Temperatures are not rising, as the president claimed, droughts are not increasing, incidents of wildfires are not accelerating, and his statement that permafrost thawing was “already affecting communities … across the nation” ignored the fact that permafrost exists only in Alaska and not in any of the other 48 states on the continent nor has it for thousands of years!

Professor Wieslaw Maslowski predicted five years ago that Arctic ice might disappear entirely by 2013, owing to global warming, but was forced to revise his prediction that it will disappear instead in 2016 “plus or minus three years.” In fact, not only has Arctic ice not disappeared, it has actually increased by a million square miles in just the last 12 months.

Dr. Ed Hawkins of Reading University analyzed the 138 climate-change models used to “inform” the IPCC and compared them to the real world. He concluded that the divergence between those models and what’s happening outside is so great as to discredit nearly all of them.

Despite the lack of warming, as predicted by climate-changers, demand for immediate action to stop global warming continues unabated, and was repeated most recently and clearly at the World Resources Forum in Davos, Switzerland in October by Ugo Bardi, a spokesman for the Club of Rome:

We are facing today an unprecedented global challenge: that of the overexploitation of the world’s resources. Not only are most natural resources being exploited faster than they can reform, but we are saturating the capability of the atmosphere to absorb the products of the combustion of fossil fuels; with the result of potentially catastrophic climate change.

[This] means slowing down the exploitation rate….

[We must work] to slow down and eventually stop the deadly economic growth machine.

Climate-changers are also having to deal with a leaked memo to the IPCC that admitted that cool temperatures have created a thick layer of ice stretching from the Canadian Islands to the northern coast of Russia that has prevented dozens of yachts from getting through America’s Northwest Passage.

One of those trying to explain away the inconvenient lack of temperature change is Richard Muller, a physics professor at the University of California, Berkeley. Just over two years ago, Muller told the House Science, Space, and Technology Committee that those models had “sufficient integrity” to “confirm the overall warming trend” and then wrote in the New York Times a year later:

I concluded that global warming was real and that the prior estimates of the rate of warming were correct.

I’m now going a step further: Humans are almost entirely the cause.

However, in September Muller stepped away from his claims and those believing them, saying that “the global warming crowd has a problem.” He added:

For all of its warnings, and despite a steady escalation of greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere, the planet’s average surface temperature has remained pretty much the same for the last 15 years.

He then regales his readers with all manner of explanations as to why: “chaotic changes in ocean currents,” the “cloud cover has kicked in,” the “ocean’s absorption of atmospheric heat,” and so forth.

He remains, as do other climate-changers, calm, confident, and assured that climate-changers can, with great accuracy, predict the future. And what they see they don’t like. And that forms the base for concluding, as did Ugo Bardi, that we must “slow down the exploitation rate and eventually stop the deadly economic growth machine.”

Instead, is it so hard to believe that a “stadium wave,” a natural pulse, reflecting the ebb and flow of the tides, the rise and fall of temperatures, like the changing of the seasons, is all that is involved? Why couldn’t it be that simple?

As the press release from Georgia Tech notes:

Climate regimes — multiple-decade intervals of warming or cooling — evolve in a spatially and temporally ordered manner….

Their repetition is regular….

The stadium wave signal has existed for at least 300 years.

The Georgia Tech scientists predict that if the stadium wave hypothesis is correct, global temperatures may not warm until the 2030s.

A graduate of Cornell University and a former investment advisor, Bob is a regular contributor to The New American magazine and blogs frequently at www.LightFromTheRight.com, primarily on economics and politics. He can be reached at [email protected].