It appears that Elizabeth Warren’s campaign is foundering, and not just in the most recent Quinnipiac survey that left her 10 points behind top Democrat contender Joe Biden.
Biden shellacked her in the most recent CNN poll as well, and even that’s not the worst of it.
Warren has fallen to third behind socialist Bernie Sanders in the Real Clear Politics average of Democratic primary polls, and is two spots behind South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg in the all-important early primary voting states of Iowa and New Hampshire.
The final verdict on Warren, caught telling two big lies last week, is hardly in. But the numbers don’t bode well.
Latest Numbers
Biden, who might face testifying in the impeachment trial of President Trump should the coup attempt pass the House of Representatives, has been rolling up one poll victory after another.
He has won five and tied one of the last six polls, and that tie wasn’t with Warren. It was with Sanders, who has risen to second place.
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The RCP average puts Biden at 28.2 percent support, 10.4 points ahead of Sanders’ 17.8 and 11.5 points ahead of Warren’s 16.7.
Warren’s latest bad news bulletin from Quinnipiac, November 21-25, showed just 14 percent support against Biden’s 24, although she clipped Sanders by a point.
Second in that race was Buttigieg at 16.
Biden prevailed in the CNN poll of November 21-24 with 28 percent to Sanders’ 17 and Warren’s 14.
Similarly, Biden scored 30 percent support in two polls that gave him nine- and 13-point margins: Politico/Morning Consult, November 21-24, and Survey USA, November 20-21.
The tie came in an Emerson poll of November 17-20. Biden and Sanders finished at 27. Warren wheezed in at 20.
Warren’s only second-place finish in the last six polls was Economist/YouGov of November 17-19. Biden polled 30 percent against Warren’s 22. Sanders was a distant third with 12.
Biden has prevailed in 23 of the last 27 polls, with two ties and two losses to Warren, which again, does not bode well for the Bay State leftist.
Iowa and New Hampshire
The RCP news from Iowa and New Hampshire is no better for Warren.
The polls in the two early primary states have shifted dramatically since the beginning of the month when Warren led both races.
Now, Buttigieg, the homosexual mayor of South Bend, Indiana, is ahead. And Warren isn’t in second place. Sanders is.
In Iowa, Buttigieg leads the communist sympathizer by 5.7 points, 24 to 18.3. Warren is third with 17.7 points.
Buttigieg handily won the last two polls, Iowa State University, November 15-19, and Des Moines Register/CNN, November 8-13, by seven and nine points, and has won three of the last four.
Warren had won the four polls before that.
Poll respondents in the Granite State give Buttigieg a three-point lead over Sanders, 20-17, although Sanders has won two of the last three surveys.
Warren is 5.7 points behind Buttigieg at 14.3.
Biden sits in fourth in both races, at 16.3 in Iowa and 13.7 in New Hampshire.
Hawkeye State voters caucus on February 3, while New Hampshire goes to the polls on February 11.
Other RCP Races
As for Biden, despite the poor showing in Iowa and New Hampshire, he is performing well in other states.
His margin in Nevada — primary date February 22 — is nine points, 29 to Warren’s 20.
In South Carolina, he leads Warren by 19 points, 35.3 to 16.3. Palmetto State voters cast ballots on February 29.
In Texas, Biden leads Warren 9.8 points, 26-16.2.
Unsurprisingly, Warren leads in her home state of Massachusetts 28.5 to 22, and is close to Biden in California, where the former vice president leads 23.7-21.3.
Texas, California, and Massachusetts vote on Super Tuesday, March 3.
Sanders is running third in all those races. The RCP average for Texas has Beto O’ Rourke in third, but he quit the race on November 1.
Why Is Warren Foundering?
One explanation for Warren’s troubles is that she comes off as a phony and a liar.
The very wealthy Warren recently denounced billionaires as “freeloaders,” a flatly ridiculous claim.
She is not an Indian, as she famously claimed, and she purloined a recipe from the New York Times and contributed it as her own to a “Native American” cookbook.
Warren falsely accused Darren Wilson, the former cop who shot Michael Brown to death in 2014, of murder. Warren is a Harvard law professor who knows the accusation is false.
Most recently, she dissembled about the education of her children, telling a school-choice activist that “my children went to public schools.” Her son attended a private school after fourth grade.
Photo: AP Images
R. Cort Kirkwood is a long-time contributor to The New American and a former newspaper editor.
